1. An NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released yesterday showed President Obama with a substantial lead in Iowa, 51/43 over Mitt Romney among likely voters.

    The poll was conducted October 15-17, meaning that the second presidential debate was accounted for only in the last day of polling.

    While Mitt Romney has enjoyed something of a comeback in the polls recently, the trend lines seem to show that President Obama has weathered the storm in Iowa. A September NBC/WSJ/Marist poll also showed an eight point lead for Obama, 50/42.

    Early voting data show Democrats outpacing Republicans by about 18 points in Iowa’s crucial early-voting period. More than 300,000 ballots have already been cast in Iowa.

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